Survivor 50 has now reached its final 10 players, all still chasing the $1 million prize — and possibly even more if MrBeast has any surprises in store for episode 10 on Wednesday, April 29.
The season’s last four episodes are where the winner will ultimately be decided, but the moves already made by these castaways deserve plenty of attention. Getting this far is no accident.
Here’s a look at the top 10 players remaining on Survivor 50, ranked from least to most likely to win based on what has happened so far.
10. Rick Devens
Devens is in trouble. If he hadn’t claimed to have an idol — and if Christian hadn’t been forced to vote for himself and announce it to the group — Devens probably would have gone home. Unless something major changes, he looks like the next boot.
That said, Devens has always been a master scrambler, so this story is far from finished. If anyone can suddenly land a MrBeast-style super idol or other game-saving twist, it’s probably him. He’s just that kind of player.
Even so, it’s hard to see a clear path for Devens to reach the end. He would need several perfectly timed advantages or a run of immunity wins to survive. Right now, I’m not betting on it.
9. Emily Flippen
Emily knew her preferred game was in trouble the moment Devens started pulling fake idol tricks. It thrilled Devens and the audience, but it also alienated the rest of the group. This cast seems to value consistency over chaos. They want to play the game, not play games — and Emily is cut from that same cloth.
Now she has to separate herself from Devens after Christian’s elimination. If she can do that, she should be fine. If not, a split-vote situation could be coming this week.
8. Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
Stephenie is playing hard in Survivor 50, but it’s still unclear how much of a real winning threat she is. Her best path may have been to stay tightly aligned with players like Coach, Colby, and Chrissy, ride the old-school momentum, and collect a few challenge wins or strategic moves along the way.
She probably beats any of those players at the end because of what she means to Survivor. The problem is that those players are gone now, and Stephenie could be next unless she locks in a tight alliance.
7. Tiffany Ervin
Tiffany is a strong competitor and is in her best position so far. As bigger alliances begin to form, she has become an important swing vote. She also has a solid partner in Aubry Bracco, and the two can work together to find a place in the emerging power structure. For now, Tiffany looks safe at Tribal Council while the group focuses on bigger perceived threats.
If she adds another immunity win or makes a standout strategic move, she’ll rise quickly. She’s close to making a real run, but not quite enough yet to crack the top six.
If I were the other players, I’d be worried. This season feels like it is building toward a major move from Tiffany.
6. Joe Hunter
Joe is one of the most interesting players to evaluate in Survivor. He’s an elite challenge performer and now has six individual immunity wins, the most in the new era. If he keeps winning, he could set an all-time Survivor record and pass Boston Rob and Ozzy Lusth.
I think Joe is seriously underrated as a challenge competitor. The downside is that his strategic game doesn’t seem to get much respect. The only person who might vote for Joe at the end is Coach, truly. And if the others already believe he can’t win the jury vote, how much of a threat is he really to them?
5. Ozzy Lusth
Ozzy slipped a bit in this latest ranking because his name came up again as a possible vote target. People are coming after him because they know he’s dangerous. He may not have the same physical dominance he once did, but he also hasn’t had someone like Cirie helping him in the game before.
Ozzy is definitely a threat to win, but the rest of the cast may be catching on too early. That’s not great news for the original Jungle Man.
4. Aubry Bracco
Aubry moved up the most on this list because she seems poised to make a move and put herself in the center of the action. She could have doubled down on Devens and Emily’s group before Christian was voted out, but she chose not to.
She still hasn’t had that signature moment yet, but it feels like it’s coming. Tiffany and Aubry look like a strong pair right now, and if they can work into a larger group or pull in Joe, Jonathan, or Stephenie, they would have the majority needed to take control. For now, Aubry just needs to survive this stretch of the game — and she’s historically been very good at pulling off big moves without a majority in Survivor.
3. Jonathan Young
Jonathan is often viewed as a physical threat first, but his resume this season is becoming hard to ignore. He’s had a direct hand in the exits of Kamilla Karthigesu, Dee Valladares, and Christian Hubicki. None of those moves were solely his, but add a few more names to that list and he’ll have a strong Final Tribal Council argument.
I’m not Jonathan’s biggest fan, but I’m warming up to his game this season. He has done a great job staying calm, keeping his cool, and avoiding the kind of scrambling or alienating that can sink players when things don’t go their way.
2. Rizo Velovic
I still can’t believe Rizo managed to charm the rest of these players. Early on, he seemed like a strong candidate to go home quickly because of his big personality, the RIZGOD hype, and how little he knew the others. Instead, he’s now the third member of an alliance with all-time greats Cirie Fields and Ozzy. That’s wild.
He’s doing enough to win, but he’ll need a few major moves down the stretch to actually get there. What makes Rizo so entertaining is that he genuinely loves playing Survivor. He brings a level of energy to this season that nobody else is matching. Sure, it can be a lot, like the showmanship around his idol in Survivor 49, but in this group it feels necessary.
1. Cirie Fields
Cirie looks like she might actually win Survivor 50. And that may be exactly why she won’t, because these players — even when they make obvious mistakes — are still incredibly smart.
Cirie has a powerful alliance willing to protect her, which is the best possible news for her right now. At the same time, that also means she’s going to draw attention sooner or later. She’s simply too strong a player to ignore. For now, though, she’s playing the best social and strategic game in the cast.
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